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Bob Barnum's Real Estate Team
Rose & Womble Realty
4190 S. Plaza Trail
Virginia Beach VA 23452
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Virginia Beach Real Estate Blog

Bob Barnum

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Displaying blog entries 1-10 of 49

GradeGov.com

As you may be able to tell I have digressed from real estate to the political arena. During my morning coffee & watching Fox News a former Senator was talking about this website gradegov.com and being able to grade are elected officials on the job there doing or not doing. Maybe this web site will fade away like so many others but with our elected officials working harder to keep their jobs than doing their jobs we might be able to have a little fun. Please check it out.

http://gradegov.com/

 

DHS Rightwing Extremism doc.

There has been a great deal of publicity regarding this document lately. If you have not had a chance to review it here is the link.

http://www.fas.org/irp/eprint/rightwing.pdf

VA’s Hurricane Preparedness Sales Tax Holiday

Get yourself ready for the 2009 Hurricane season, the state of Va, has a program to help us save money when stocking up on supplies. Check out the link below and learn more.

http://www.readyvirginia.gov/stayinformed/sales_tax_holiday.cfm

 

The 5 Best Cities for Military Families

Some good info from military.com

It's a buyer's market. Many areas are seeing home prices decline or stabilize. We now have low prices, record low interest rates and tax credits for buying a home, particularly for first time home buyers ($8,000 this year.)

But military families are in many unique situations that make moving to the most ideal areas difficult in some situations. The Babb Group and researchers Danielle Babb and Shane Hill have done their homework to take some of the guesswork out of your decision and offer some suggestions on cities with a heavy military population that you may want to consider buying a home in.

http://www.military.com/finance/pcs-moving-guide/moving/5-best-cities-for-military-families.html?ESRC=finance.nl

1.) Oceanside, Calilf.

First let’s look at Oceanside, Calif., just outside of Camp Pendleton. The estimated median household income in 2007 was about $54,000 --  up from $46,000 in 2000. This is also about $5,000 higher than the median income in the state of California. In 2007 an average house would cost you about $500,000.  Today though the price is about half this, at $250,000. You can get a great deal, and it's on the coast. Watch out for new higher income and sales taxes though, which make California an overall expensive state to live in. The nearby, sleepy beach town of San Clemente is another area to look for some good deals on the coast.

2.) Norfolk, Va. 

Norfolk, Va, near the Naval Station Norfolk, offers some good opportunities with far low prices than California. Median income is about $41,000 -- up from $31,000 in 2000 after adjusting for inflation. The mean home price in 2007 was about $200,000 and is holding relatively steady, making it a bit less risky than other areas. New prices leveled off at about $180,000 as the mean price.

 3.) Ft. Walton Beach, Fla.

Another option is near Eglin Air Force Base in Fort Walton Beach, Fla. Estimated income climbed about $12,000 after adjusting for inflation in seven years, which usually bodes well for markets. Mean house prices spiked at nearly $400,000 in 2007 and dropped off dramatically down to about $150,000. Obviously there are some good deals here, but as with the rest of Florida, we don’t really know if this market has further to decline.

4.) Killeen, Texas

For awhile now I’ve been a fan of Killeen, Texas, near Fort Hood. Texas in general fared the real estate storm quite well. Household income has grown about 25 percent in seven years, and prices stayed relatively stable with only about a 5 percent dip in price down to about $135,000. This is a good solid growth area that -- while growing slower in other parts of the nation -- is generally stable and provides a benefit when the investment is your own home.

5.) Portsmouth, Va.

We also have solid median income growth near the U.S. Coast Guard Station in Portsmouth, Va. The average income there is about $44,000, up from $33,000 in 2007. What's more, there substantially lower home prices in Portsmouth than in the rest of Virginia. The median for the state is about $250,000 for a home. You can buy one for about $160,000 in Portsmouth.) We have also seen more than three consecutive quarters of stable prices in homes in this area, which is a good sign that you won't risk losing money your investment if you buy here.

To get more PCS tips or information, visit Military.com’s PCS/Home Buying Guide.

May 4, Market Recap...

May 4, 2009


MARKET RECAP

Sometimes bad news isn't as bad as it seems. For instance, gross domestic product dropped at a 6.1% annual pace in the first quarter of 2009, easily blowing past predictions for a 5% annualized drop. The decrease marked the weakest posting since 1958. Bad news, right?

Not so fast. It's tempting to cite the grim first-quarter GDP decline to squelch talk of any recovery in the U.S. economy, but the numbers actually contain flickers of hope. Nearly half of the GDP contraction was due to businesses slashing production in order to bring inventories in line with sales. The process, although perhaps incomplete, is well advanced, which means businesses may soon have production levels where they want them. That, in turn, could set the stage for increased business spending in the second half of the year as consumer demand increases.

In fact, consumer demand is already picking up. The monthly data on home, car, and retail sales confirm that consumption has broadly stabilized. Although home construction has tumbled, the worst is probably over: in any case, the sector is now so small that further declines mean little to overall output. The recent rise in stocks prices – arguably the most reliable economic indicator – and in consumer confidence also bodes well for businesses and consumers alike

More good news can be found in seemingly bad news on the housing front. Home prices continued to decline in 20 major U.S. cities in February, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, but the rate of decrease slowed for the first time since 2007. Average prices are now down 30.7% from the housing market's mid-2006 peak. Phoenix has fallen the furthest, dropping 50.8% from its high, while Dallas has been one of the better performers, slipping a relatively modest 11.1% from its peak. Odds at this juncture favor long-term home-price appreciation over long-term depreciation.

Meanwhile, mortgage rates continue to hold steady, with 30-year fixed-rate mortgages still available in the 5% range. But again, we need to warn that rates could be approaching a low, if they haven't already reached one. Treasury yields are starting to rise, a sign of a strengthening economy and a sign that inflation could be lurking on the horizon. At this point, we think holding out for lower mortgage rates is becoming a riskier bet.

Economic
Indicator
Release
Date and Time
Consensus
Estimate
Analysis

Construction Spending
(March)

Mon, May 4,
10:00 am, et

1.3% (Decrease)

Moderately Important. Spending is expected to be at or near a bottom.

Pending Home
Sales Index
(March)

Mon, May 4,
10:00 am, et

81.8 Index

Important. The index is expected to show signs of an improving selling environment.

Mortgage Applications

Wed, May 6,
7:00 am, et

None
Important. Purchase activity is improving on first-time buyer incentives.

Productivity and Costs
(1 st Quarter 2009)

Thurs, May 7,
8:30 am, et

Productivity: 0.4% (Increase)
Costs: No Change

Important. Productivity outpacing costs is a key factor in raising national living standards.

Consumer Credit Outstanding
(March)

Thurs, May 7,
3:00 pm, et

$2.5 Billion (Decrease)

Moderately Important. Rising credit card rates are slowing credit use.

Employment Situation
(April)

Fri, May 8,
8:30 am, et

Unemployment Rate: 8.8%
Wage Rate: 0.2%
(Increase)

Very Important. Unemployment continues to trend higher, but economists are expecting a slowdown in the increase.

Confusing Averages

Averages are an intricate part of data aggregation and dissemination. We reference averages, such as national average mortgage rates or average existing new or existing home prices, in the newsletter. These averages are useful, because they project a large macroeconomic picture quickly.

But averages can also misinform. Picture a room with Bill Gates, Warren Buffett, and eight other people, each of whom earn $100,000 annually. If a statistician were to average the annual incomes of the 10 inhabitants, the average annual income would be several million dollars a year, even though eight of the 10 inhabitants make nowhere near that amount. It would be impossible to implement a successful sales strategy based on that average income. In other words, averages can be irrelevant.

Such is often the case with real estate. We noted that home prices in Phoenix tumbled an average of 51% from 2006 highs, while Dallas prices tumbled an average of 11%. Average these two numbers and you get an average decline of 31%, which makes the Phoenix market look more robust than it is and the Dallas market less robust. What's more, that average is even more misleading because it is based on an average of an average.

Point is, don't let national averages influence your opinion of the economy too much. Most business is local, and what's happening in one part of the country can be completely different from what is happening in another part of the country. What's happening in your part of the country is what's most relevant.

 
Freddie Mac put together a new video on their website to help borrowers understand the new “Making Home Affordable” program.  In this video, Ingrid Beckles, Senior Vice President, Freddie Mac, explains how borrowers can determine their eligibility for “Making Home Affordable” and use the President’s plan to refinance their current loan, or if they’re already behind on their loan or facing a financial hardship, get a modification that makes their loan more affordable.  Click here to access the video.

April 13th 2009 Market Recap

Good info...

“The reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated,” said Mark Twain upon hearing his obituary had been published in the New York Journal. Our beleaguered banking sector should be forgiven if it were to pinch Mr. Twain's famous quote, for Well Fargo reported that it expects first-quarter earnings of $3 billion. (Yes, that's billion with a “B”.) Banks are far from being dead.

Bank stocks have been sluggish for most of 2009, to be sure, following fretful forecasts from key analysts about the bad loans they carried on their balance sheets and other long-term woes. Today, investors believe the woes were overdone, which is why Wells Fargo barreled ahead nearly 32% this past Thursday, while taking many of its competitors along for the ride.

The fact that mortgage lending is pacing the banking recovery is encouraging. It demonstrates funds are readily available to a wide swath of the borrowing public. In addition, more funds should be available to an even wider swath of borrowers once President Obama's $275 billion plan to stabilize the housing market takes hold. One key component of the plan is to allow as many as five million homeowners to refinance their mortgages. The program is open to borrowers who are current on their payments, have loans owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, and owe between 80% and 105% of their home's current value.

The recent recovery in banks, along with the overall stock market, has economists rethinking this whole recession thing. Earlier in the year, many of the more vociferous opinion makers were saying the economy was unlikely to recover until well into 2010. Now, many economists presage a recovery as soon as September.

Mortgage rates, on the other hand, are one segment of the lending paradigm where a recovering could be ending. We've been warning for the past few weeks that additional rate drops are going to be difficult to come by. Indeed, rates actually reversed course and moved slightly higher across most durations and types last week. We're not so presumptuous as to assume rates can't go lower, but we wouldn't bet the house on it. That's something to consider for anyone shopping for a refinance or purchase loan.

Economic
Indicator
Release
Date and Time
Consensus
Estimate
Analysis

Producer Price Index
(March)

Tues, April 14,
8:30 am, et

Finished Goods: No Change
Core: 0.1% (Increase)

Important. Stable prices suggest inflation remains a non-issue.

Retail Sales
(March)

Tues, April 14,
8:30 am, et

0.4%
(Increase)

Important. The increase in sales reflects growing consumer confidence.

Mortgage Applications

Wed, April 15,
7:00 am, et

None
Important. Application activity in the purchase market is encouraging.

Consumer Price Index
(March)

Wed, April 15,
8:30 am, et

Finished Goods: 0.2% (Increase)
Core: 0.2% (Increase)

Important. The increase in consumer prices remains at the low end of historical norms.

Industrial Production
(March)

Wed, April 15,
9:15 am, et

0.1% (Decrease)

Moderately Important. The decrease in production is abating.

Housing Market Index
(April)

Wed, April 15,
1:00 pm, et

10 Index

Important. The index suggests that homebuilders believe the worst is over.

Housing Starts
(March)

Thurs, April 16,
8:30 am, et

550,000 (Annualized)
Important. new homes sales are building momentum off January's lows.

Consumer Sentiment
(April)

Fri, April 17,
10:00 am, et

58.5 Index
Moderately Important. Sentiment is improving on positive economic news.

Next Up, a Housing Recovery

Politicians of all stripes have lamented that the bursting of the housing bubble has been a national tragedy. But is it really that bad? According to George Mason law professor Todd Zywicki, the answer is “no.” In a recent Forbes article, Zywicki reasons that there are three types of housing markets, and only one of the three shows real signs of distress.

Zywicki states that the first type of market behaves the way markets are supposed to behave, with smooth adjustments between supply and demand. When prices rose, builders constructed new houses. When prices softened, builders stopped. Charlotte and Dallas represent such markets. The second type of market demonstrates a long history of price volatility, such in San Francisco and Seattle . Zywicki notes that people who live in these markets expect big price swings and adjust their behavior accordingly. These two markets, says Zywicki, are basically sound.

The third type of market displays both the ability to expand the supply of houses that characterizes the first type of market and the price swings that characterize the second type. This is the market where the real bubble developed, and not surprisingly, it is concentrated in the Sun Belt: namely, Las Vegas , Tampa , and Phoenix . Investors seem to have calculated that a lot of people would either retire or buy second homes in these places. And when prices went up, speculators moved in and a bubble formed.

Zywicki might be on to something: If you vet the news carefully enough, you'll find more stories highlighting rebounds in many of the type one and two housing markets. Yes, troubles in the Sun Belt remain frustratingly intractable, but given current mortgage rates and the plethora of buyers' incentives, we suspect that market will recover sooner than many pundits think.

 

Dunkin Donuts Ice Coffee & Homes for our troops

April 21, 2009!  

Dunkin’ Donuts, America’s all day, every day stop for coffee and baked goods, wants Americans to kick off spring with a refreshing cup of Iced Coffee that will help make a difference for our injured veterans in need.

In addition, Dunkin Donuts is launching a nationwide call to recruit one million NEW volunteers to support Homes for Our Troops's efforts!  Learn more at www.dunkindonuts.com/icedcoffeeday

 

 Calling All Volunteers Across the USA!

 We need you for a one-day volunteer shift!  April 21, 2009. 
Represent Homes for Our Troops at selected Dunkin Donuts locations during Iced Coffee Day! Visit www.homesforourtroops.org/april21volunteer to volunteer. 

Here is what we need you to do!
  • Be part of our Official Iced Coffee Day Street Team!
  • Proudly wear your official Homes for Our Troops T-Shirt!
    (Your free T-shirt will be given to pre-registered volunteers when you arrive at the local Dunkin Donuts location you are assigned)
  • Hand out Homes for Our Troops brochures at selected Dunkin Donuts stores on that day!
  • Be a positive ambassador for the Homes for Our Troops mission!

Sign up today!  Opportunities for this one-day volunteer shift are limited! Visit www.homesforourtroops.org/april21volunteer to volunteer. 

 

Dunkin Donuts Iced Coffee Day April 21, 2009

Tell A Friend About This!

Correction to no more cul de sacs

I voted for the other guy....

Hampton Roads to receive $13.4 million from recovery pkg

Hampton Roads will be receiving $13.4 million from the economic recovery package to support energy efficiency and conservation projects. The funds were released by the Department of Energy today as part $3.2 billion in nationwide funding through the Energy Efficiency and Conservation Block Grant program.  Click here for the full story from WAVY-TV.
Bob Barnum's Real Estate Team
Rose & Womble Realty
4190 S. Plaza Trail
Virginia Beach VA 23452
© 2003 – 2009 Real Pro Systems, LLC
Last modified 7/4/2009