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Understanding What Causes Interest Rate Movement

Some great info from Dave Michaud with Union Mortgage Group

The Federal Reserve and Mortgage Rates
Understanding What Causes Interest Rate Movement

Consumers are often misled when it comes to the subject of the Federal Reserve and how it affects mortgage interest rates. Often the media is the culprit causing the confusion. Many times, the Fed has taken action that caused mortgage interest rates to move in a direction other than what consumers expected, because the media provided weak reporting on the subject.

The Federal Reserve affects short-term interest rate maturities, the Fed Funds rate, and the Overnight Lending rate. These factors have a direct impact on the Prime rate. If you took only this into consideration, you may mistakenly conclude that changes made by the Fed will cause a similar movement in mortgage interest rates. However, mortgage interest rates are dictated by the trading of mortgage-backed securities, which trade on a daily basis. The real dynamic at the heart of interest rate movement is the relationship between stocks and bonds.

Stocks and bonds compete for the same investment dollar on a daily basis. There is literally only so much money to be invested. When the Federal Reserve feels that interest rates need to be decreased in an effort to stimulate the economy, this reduction in rates can often cause a stock market rally. When the market becomes bullish, the money to invest in stocks comes from the selling of mortgage-backed securities.

Unfortunately, selling mortgage-backed securities to fuel stock market rallies causes interest rates to go up, not down.

Historically, there have been many times when the Federal Reserve has increased interest rates. Stocks then sell off in fear that the increase will affect corporate profit margins, and the liquidated stock assets need a place to park until the next rally comes along. The safe haven is found in mortgage-backed securities which cause mortgage rates to drop.

The daily ebb and flow of money is what matters most when it comes to the movement of mortgage interest rates. I make it a point to continuosly monitor interest rates for my clients, and advise them of opportunities to manage their mortgage debt at a better rate. This is the foundation of my business model as a Trusted Advisor.

 

Dave Michaud
Senior Mortgage Consultant
Union Mortgage Group
Phone: (757)321-2701
Fax: (757)351-6471
dave@teammichaud.com
www.teammichaud.com

Loan Modifications & your credit score

I found this article through RIS media, The loan Mod is a good program to help home owners who are having a tough time it just pisses me off sometimes that there is a catch to everything.

1]RISMEDIA, January 19, 2010—(MCT)-The last thing many troubled homeowners want to hear is that they could be denied a car loan after they get a chance to modify their home loan. But credit scores can get dinged after a home loan modification, making it more costly or tougher to get a loan or credit card.

Hundreds of thousands of homeowners find themselves in a financial squeeze, thanks to the recession and the meltdown in the housing market. Lenders have offered trial loan modifications to more than 700,000 eligible borrowers. As of late November 2009, about 31,000 trial loans have been made permanent, which requires at least three on-time payments under the trial program and proof of income.

What these troubled homeowners don’t realize is that these attempts to avoid foreclosure may result in their credit scores taking a hit. A potentially damaged credit score is one of those hidden costs of home loan modification—and it varies significantly depending on your lender, as well as when you received your loan modification, your credit history and how your loan was altered.

“They need to tell people up front that this could happen,” said James Sperr, of Belleville, Mich. Sperr and his wife, Carol, received a trial modification that cut their house payment, including taxes and insurance to $957 a month from $1,140 a month. But it came with a hit to their credit score. “Our credit rating has gone from the 800s to 750,” Carol Sperr said. “It’s punitive to a consumer who is already scared, frustrated, mad,” said John Ulzheimer, president of consumer education for Credit.com. The Sperrs said they had never been late or missed a mortgage payment, but their bank had reported them as being behind on payments. Their credit score took a hit, falling from the 800s to 750. “They tell us that once the paperwork ‘catches up’ and the new loan is finalized, they will correct the credit reporting agencies,” Carol Sperr said.

No one saw this coming. “I didn’t find out about our credit until they did a check on this van we bought,” James Sperr said. He said his wife was able to provide more documentation that their mortgage was in compliance so they did not have to pay a higher rate or get shut out of a loan. Others aren’t so lucky.

Loan modifications remain a good thing, but they often come with that consequence. Homeowners who face hardships but cannot traditionally refinance their mortgages can try to get a loan modification. A modification temporarily reduces the monthly payment, which can be helpful if someone’s dealing with a pay cut. Typically, the principal amount owed on the loan is not reduced or changed and the amount of debt owed is not forgiven. The federal government has programs, and banks and credit unions have proprietary programs as well.

Yet many homeowners feel blindsided when they discover that their credit score has dropped by 50 to 100 points or even more after they entered a trial modification. “What’s the point of the additional credit damage? What have they just accomplished by doing that to the borrower?” asked John Ulzheimer, president of consumer education for Credit.com.

In the first few months after receiving a trial modification, Ulzheimer said, it is possible that the initial payments would show up as a “partial payment plan” on a credit report, which turns into a negative hit to a credit score. This can be a problem even for homeowners who never have missed a mortgage payment. “It really depends on how the mortgage company decides to report this to a credit agency,” said Julie Bos, group manager and certified credit counselor for GreenPath Inc. in Grand Rapids, Mich. A homeowner who is behind on payments will see credit score damage, and that won’t change from a modification. “If you’re already delinquent, your credit is already impacted,” said John Snyder, manager of foreclosure programs for NeighborWorks America. But consumers who are making their mortgage payments are getting modifications, too, perhaps because wages were cut or jobs were lost. They may be struggling to stay current, but their credit may not be bad when they start a modification.

Some might argue that it’s not a wise move to take on more debt, such as a car loan, if a person saw a cut in pay and needed a home loan modification. But many consumers often cannot control when their car breaks down. On top of that, lenders benefit from home loan modifications because potential foreclosures can be avoided.

Unknowingly though, many consumers discover themselves boxed in later when they try to get approved for credit. “They’re concerned about the damage to their credit. They’re not happy about it,” said Bos. “If you go out and try to purchase a car in two months, you could be denied,” she said. Or you might have to get a co-signer or put down a bigger down payment or accept a higher interest rate to get a loan.

What’s even stranger is that not all home loan modifications will hit consumers in the same way on their credit reports. Consumers who modify their mortgages under federal programs, such as the Making Home Affordable and the Home Affordable Modification Program, now can do so without hurting their credit scores since those modifications are listed as a “loan modified under a federal plan” as of Nov. 1. Here’s the sticking point: If you are able to modify your loan through an individual bank or credit union’s program and not a government plan, it’s likely your credit score will be hurt. To complicate matters further, eventually a “loan modified under a federal plan” on your credit report could hurt your score, too.

Ulzheimer noted that the only reason the new reporting guidelines do not damage your credit scores is because FICO, the company that created the FICO credit score, hasn’t had a chance to study the long-term predictive value of loan modifications to credit risk.

Still, homeowners who are in trouble must realize that a foreclosure or a short sale would be listed as a charge-off or settlement on a credit report and last seven years, Ulzheimer said, while a modification would typically last a few years.

If you do receive a loan modification, ask questions and be more careful about how you handle your credit elsewhere to try to combat any potential damage.

Before making any moves, talk to a nonprofit housing counselor.

(c) 2009, Detroit Free Press.

Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.

RISMedia welcomes your questions and comments. Send your e-mail to: realestatemagazinefeedback@rismedia.com [2].

Don’t miss these top headlines on RISMedia.com:
5 Leadership Tactics That Will Make 2010 a Pivotal Business Year [3]
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Hope this news dosen't mean higher taxes

Virginia Beach--

Property values are falling more than previously predicted, a situation that threatens to punch a bigger hole in the city’s budget.  The value of residential and commercial properties could drop an average of more than 6.5 percent, City Assessor Jerry Banagan warned city leaders in a memo. Banagan previously forecast a 5 percent fall.  The predicted drop is the latest bad news for city budget officials facing an $84.4 million shortfall between the city and schools. The predicted change is equivalent to a loss of about $7.5 million in city revenue, said Catheryn Whitesell, the city’s budget director.  Click here for the full story from the Virginian-Pilot.

New Plan for Lake Tecumseh

Two years ago, a feisty group of residents, boaters and outdoor enthusiasts defeated an environmental proposal from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service to build two small dikes that would physically disconnect Lake Tecumseh from Back Bay.  The $200,000 project was intended to return the two water bodies to their separate, natural ways. Both would benefit ecologically, according to scientists - better water quality, less muddy runoff, more aquatic grasses, more fish.  Opponents were not pleased to learn about the project haphazardly. And they successfully argued to keep in place a man-made connection between Lake Tecumseh and Back Bay that, for decades, has made boating, fishing and water access a happy way of life in southern Virginia Beach, near Sandbridge.  This week, after months of public meetings and refinements, the Fish and Wildlife Service again asked for a government permit from the Army Corps of Engineers to pursue the project.  Click here for the full story form the Virginian-Pilot.

Virginia - Flagpole Dispute

The Great Flagpole Dispute of 2009 started last summer when Van T. Barfoot, a retired Army colonel who single-handedly took on three Nazi tanks in World War II, moved to the Sussex Square neighborhood near Richmond to be closer to his daughter. Barfoot believes in flying the colors of the nation he loves, so he erected a flagpole in his front yard.  Like thousands of developments across the country, Sussex Square is governed by a homeowners association, which controls the neighborhood's aesthetics. The association ordered Barfoot, a 90-year-old Medal of Honor recipient, to remove his flagpole.  In the end, it took the combined forces of the American Legion, members of Congress, untold numbers of sympathetic veterans and the spokesman for the leader of the free world to persuade the homeowners association to back off its threat to sue a war hero. Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) finally brokered a deal that will allow Barfoot to keep his flagpole.  Click here to read the full story from the Washington Post.

FHA – Condo Rules FAQ

FHA released a frequently asked questions (FAQ) document on the new condominium rules. The FAQs provide some additional guidance to the rules, announced in Mortgagee Letter 2009-46A and Mortgagee Letter 2009-46BClick here to access the FAQ.

Virginia Beach – Neighborhood Preservation and Light Rail

This week HRRA organized a Town Hall Meeting in Virginia Beach to discuss neighborhood preservation and light rail.  We had a chance to hear from the Vice President of Public Affairs and Communications for Hampton Roads Transit, James Toscano, who provided an update on light rail in Hampton Roads.  Andy Friedman, Director of Housing and Neighborhood Preservation for the City of Virginia Beach, took time to discuss a number of issues including recent legislative proposals and a new pattern book being developed by the City.  Click here to access a copy of the Virginia Beach Neighborhood Preservation Plan that was referenced at the meeting. 

Home Buyer Tax Credit – Co-borrowers

Home Buyer Tax Credit – Co-borrowers

The IRS has spelled out guidelines for eligibility for the home buyer credit when co-borrowers purchase a property.  When a home-owning parent of an adult child co-signs for a mortgage and both names appear on the note, the IRS says that under some circumstances, the first-time home buyer can qualify for the whole amount.  Click here for more information from NAR.

Virginia Beach – New Site for Kellam High School

For two years, the future of Kellam High School was in limbo as a closed-door committee sought a place to rebuild. The 108-acre site chosen Tuesday would allow the city's first new high school in nearly a decade to move forward.  The site, at the corner of West Neck and North Landing roads, was once destined for an upscale housing development known as Manchester Station. Not far from the Municipal Center, the land is more than triple the size of the current high school property on Holland Road.  Click here to read the full story from the Virginian-Pilot.

Chesapeake - Coast Guard Approves Jordan Bridge Replacement

Good news except for the toll.

The U.S. Coast Guard on Friday signed off on a $100 million project to replace the Jordan Bridge, paving the way for private developers to build a toll span that connects South Norfolk and Portsmouth.  Executives with the development team said they hope to complete the project by summer 2011. The plan calls for a toll of about $2. For a while, it seemed that the federal agency's approval was not ensured. The Army Corps of Engineers and parts of the maritime community complained that the size of the 145-foot-high bridge would limit commercial water traffic on the Elizabeth River's Southern Branch, as newer and bigger ships begin to use East Coast ports.  The Coast Guard said Friday that the developer responded by widening the bridge's horizontal clearance.  Click here to read the full story from the Virginian-Pilot.